Welcome everyone! For this part of the Experiment, we will begin to document historically relevant bar chart patterns and how they relate to pre-coded triggers. This should help our users identify future pitfalls, raids, and traps. Our initial goal is to have users submit "events" where they have identified a definitive pattern or ask about a set-up that they missed. It should be possible to code the best conditions for entering and exiting a position. Then we can throw it into the back test engine to see how consistent it is. Some of the triggers may already exist, but there may have been an underlying condition that buffered it from playing out.

I will start with this one first since I don't really want to see short triggers popping up on HNT right now. It is currently labeled #155 VXX. When triggered on volatility ETFs, it is very effective, but it crypto, it frequently results in a stop-loss raid, and push to higher prices. If any users want to help identify classic patterns within the vicinity, I would love to see some pics

These are some of the patterns we are hoping users will help us identify. It should be fun

We are currently working on a format for sharing chart formation dynamics. It can be difficult to understand why formations form, but we are working on solving all of them . Similar to a soduko or crossword puzzle. Here is one of the flag formations

By applying multiple metrics beyond what is traditionally available, we can then buffer out false signals and code proper reversals

Alexander unlike the stock markets, crypto markets can have different pairs on multiple exchanges. We are utilizing 4 trading pairs and 2 timeframes from each pair in order to identify clusters of correlating triggers and the trend direction.

It is looking like the take-profit code(purple)has triggered some decent buy support. The red arrows are short triggers, but we aren't actually "shorting". Just using the new data to adjust our strategy as needed.

If you were using perpetual futures to trade HNT, and you wanted to go short, then these would be some of the price levels you would want to consider for setting a stop loss based on your personal risk tolerance

This formation may play out as a "tweezer tops" on a longer time-frame.

I think we just had a variation of a "T-6" formation

Trigger Guides: Page 3

Trigger Guides

Alexander

ALGO is building similar support at $2

Alexander

We have some different functions that can result in blue "buy" bars, and the S&P 500 put on a good display of "momentum". In order for these tools to work, they have to work for everything!

Alexander

It's been a while since I've checked Litecoin, but the model was long since a few days ago....

Alexander

If you had gone long on ICX-ETH, now is about the time you would want to set a stop loss to lock in profits. That big blue candle could signal a continued run though.

Alexander

There's the 20% reversal trigger on ICX. Higher prices are still possible, but there will be a big sell wall at that point. Gotta break through it to catch up with ALGO

Alexander

That's the Blue bar we were waiting for on Algo.|

Alexander

It took a while to get enough volume to get some proper triggers to sequence on the 1-minute, but ICX has been shaping up very nicely. The SHTF3 or "Short/sell the F***ing Top" is one of the last resorts to dollar cost averaging shorts or sell orders before a big dip.
It could always keep going based on solid fundamentals and supply vs price. That's why it's always a good idea to use 5-10% on every order.

Alexander

This is kind of creepy because I raised the lowest offset by .00X% That is where you want to initially allocate 20-30% of equity on limit orders and then start setting tiered orders from the bottom up until the model says otherwise.

Alexander

Good morning everyone! Nice pump on Bitcoin while alts sit on the sidelines. I'm still familiarizing myself with perpetual futures, but this is where you could theoretically use a small amount of USDT to leverage a short position to protect against potential fiat value losses on your spot. Then use profits to buy more spot if it does go down.

Alexander

Huge pump on SHIB after Coinbase announcement....
Who would have known...

peter

Alexander So lame.

Alexander

peter
The data was excellent though.

Alexander

I don't usually do 10-minute time frames, but that's what the Boomers use for the Dow Jones. By adding 3 zeros to our initial equity (10,000 > 10,000,000) we are able to activate Poptriggers on the CBOE futures.

Alexander

Insider trading is always a hot topic. Coinbase insiders sold millions at the vertical dashed white lines. At the time, there were short triggers all over shorter time frames.

So the question is... what occurs first?
The triggers, or the news?

Alexander

Back again with a text-book "Tweezer Top" formation on XBT.
Model success rate is still ₆₉%

Alexander

ICX looks like it has support on multiple levels as well as buy triggers popping off like crazy!

Alexander

Next Stop is looking like $3

Alexander

Apparently this formation = dump

Alexander

In conjunction with the latest posts about Michael Burry's Tesla shorts, we coded reversals for when the original short conditions occurred. They are working out well on Bitcoin.

Alexander

Here is a better display of how it can play out. It also demonstrates the importance of watching multiple pairs for a single crypto currency.

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